market stats

July Homes Sales Rise 7.2%

The National Association of Realtors said today that home sales rose 7.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.24 million in July, from a pace of 4.89 million in June.   It was the 4th straight monthly increase and the highest level of sales since August 2007.   Sales had been expected to rise to annual pace of 5 million, according to surveyed economists.  July’s increase to 5.24 million was higher than anticipated. ”The housing market, with today’s strong rise in sales, has decisively turned for the better,” said Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the National Association of Realtors.

National the median sales price is down by 15 percent to $178,400.   Sales of foreclosures & distressed properties make up about a third of all transactions in July which is down from half of all transactions from earlier this year.   In several markets across the US - buyers are purchasing foreclosed properties at deep discounts.   

The tax credit for first time buyers - also seems to have helped sales.   In order to qualify for the First-time buyer tax credit - homes must be CLOSED by November 30, 2009.    The tax credit is for 10% of the purchase price upt to a maximum of $8,000.   And while it is billed for the first time buyers - you may qualify if you haven’t owned a primary property for the past 3 years.   

The 9.4-month supply of current inventory at the current sales pace is unchanged from June.

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Bernanke says US Economy on the Verge of Recovery

At the annual Federal Reserve conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says the U.S. economy is on the verge of a long-awaited recovery after enduring a brutal recession.  Bernanke said that   economic activity in both the U.S. and around the world appears to be “leveling out,” and “the prospects for a return to growth in the near term appear good.”   

~sourced AJC.com

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Atlanta Market Update - August 2009

An article in the AJC today reports that the median sales price of single family homes in metro Atlanta rose in the 2nd Quarter of 2009.   The metro Atlanta median sales price was $121,400 in the 2 nd Q of 2009, up 5 percent from $115,600 for the 1stQ of the year.  The current median sales price is 23 percent lower than it was this time last year, $158,300, according to figures released Wednesday by the National Association of Realtors.   Click here for the full AJC article.

When comparing the 2nd Quarter 2009 sales (number sold) to 2nd Quarter 2008 sales - there has been an expected decline in the number of sales.    2ndQ 2008 - total of 10,029 sales vs. 2ndQ 2009 - total of 8,520 sales.   But when broken out by sales price there is actually an increase in 2ndQ 2009’s numbers in the $200k or less sales price.    2ndQ 2008 total of 4,692 sales vs. 2ndQ 2009 of 5,035 sales.    Foreclosures and declining prices attribute to this increase in sales.

Foreclosures have had a tremendous impact on the 2009 market.  2Q 2008 - 19.5% of the sales were foreclosures compared to 2Q 2009 where 31.8% of the sales were foreclosures.  (Short sales are not included in these statistics at present as there is not a way to accurately track them.)   Certainly many buyers have been taking advantage of the falling prices & the $8000 tax credit to purchase homes.    As foreclores, short sales & great buys are purchased and the inventories absorbed - we should begin to see pricing stabilizing and eventually price increases.

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New Home Sales Up - Nationwide

The Commerce Department reported that new home sales rose 11 percent in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 384,000, from an upwardly revised May rate of 346,000.  WOW.  It is the fastest increase in more than eight years for new construction home sales.

Indeed home prices are still falling, but the improvement in new construction sales is another sign the national housing market is starting to bounce back.   Earlier this month, the government reported that national home resales rose almost 4 percent in June, the third straight monthly increase.

“The worst of the housing recession … is now behind us,” said David Resler, chief economist at Nomura Securities. “We’re turning the corner toward increased activity in housing.”

The median national sales price of $206,200 was down 12 percent from $234,300 a year earlier and off nearly 6 percent from $219,000 in May.  In addition to lower prices, buyers are rushing to take advantage of a federal tax credit that covers 10 percent of the home price or up to $8,000 for first-time buyers.  Home sales need to be completed by the end of November for buyers to take advantage.  You must close by November 30, 2009.

June’s results were the strongest sales pace since November 2008 and exceeded the forecasts of economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters, who expected a pace of 360,000 units. The last time sales rose so dramatically was in December 2000.

There were 281,000 new homes for sale at the end of June, down more than 4 % from May.  At the current sales pace, that represents 8.8 months of supply which is the lowest level since October 2007.  Some analysts say that when the inventory falls down around a 6 month supply, builders will feel more comfortable ramping up construction.

Portions of this article were sourced from a July 2009 article by real estate columnist Alan Zeibel & FMLS

market stats

The Numbers - June 2009

The FMLS has finally published the June 2009 numbers!   And there is continued good news in the numbers.  Across all of FMLS areas (36 total) average closed prices are continuing to head back up.  We are seeing lower inventories and the large number of months supply of houses on the market is starting to moderate as inventories continue to decline.  If this trend continues we can expect prices to continue to increase.

Below are the monthly charts for 5 in-town areas of the FMLS - just a portion of the 36 total areas in FMLS.

FOR CONDOS/TOWNHOMES:

Area	# of Sales	Total Sales Volume	Avg Sale Price	Average Original List Price	Sales Price to Final List Price	Average Total Days on the Market
21	72	$ 21,803,417	$     302,825	$       435,664	74.1%	146.2
23	75	$ 14,983,000	$     199,773	$       218,380	96.0%	107.6
24	5	$      868,900	$     173,780	$       188,560	96.2%	49.6
52	46	$   7,643,805	$     166,170	$       186,434	94.4%	120.1
TOTALS	198	$ 45,299,122

 

HOUSES:

Area	# of Sales	Total Sales Volume	Avg Sale Price	Average Original List Price	Sales Price to Final List Price	Average Total Days on the Market
21	65	$61,106,623	$       940,102	$     ,138,312	87.8%	115.5
23	40	$19,032,273	$       475,807	$      550,100	94.7%	132.5
24	63	$14,952,700	$       237,344	$      262,342	96.2%	91.8
31	119	$5,230,423	$         43,953	$        57,414	92.8%	79.6
32	73	$8,631,929	$       118,246	$      135,225	95.6%	79.8
52	160	$35,186,598	$       219,916	$      247,542	93.7%	90.2
TOTALS	520	$144,140,546

Click here for FMLS Area - key codes.    

In these in-town markets - the total sales volume for Condos/Town homes was $21,804,580 for May compared to June’s sales volume of $45,299,122.  Sales volume of single family homes in these 5 areas jumped to $144,140,546 in sales volume compared to May’s sales volume of $99,337,550.   Here are breakdowns of past months: May 2009, April 2009 & March 2009.

It is a great time to buy!

market stats

The Numbers - May 2009

May 2009 Numbers:

Condos/Townhomes:

Area	# of Sales	Total Sales Volume	Avg Sale Price	Average Original List Price	Sales Price to Final List Price	Average Total Days on the Market
21	51	$              9,505,160	$             186,370	$             199,370	93.5%	97.1
23	39	$              6,659,470	$             168,488	$             174,322	96.6%	98.9
24	5	$              1,171,500	$             234,300	$             236,380	99.1%	142.2
52	23	$              4,468,450	$             194,280	$             205,466	94.6%	163.6
TOTALS	118	$           21,804,580

 

Homes:

Area	# of Sales	Total Sales Volume	Avg Sale Price	Average Original List Price	Sales Price to Final List Price	Average Total Days on the Market
21	41	$31,948,960	$             779,243	$             855,875	91.0%	161.3
23	32	$16,852,438	$             526,639	$             573,433	91.8%	103.2
24	43	$10,013,330	$             232,868	$             245,127	95.0%	92.5
31	148	$7,345,715	$               49,633	$               53,536	92.7%	106.6
32	55	$5,260,975	$               95,654	$             101,802	94.0%	71
52	135	$27,916,132	$             206,786	$             220,757	93.7%	88.7
TOTALS	454	$99,337,550

The area key is here.

market stats

The Numbers - April 2009

There was an increase in the number of sales in the intown markets from March 2009 to April 2009.     In single family houses - there were 23 more closings and in increase in sales volume of $16,631,268.  

April 2009 Numbers:

Homes:

Area	# of Sales	Total Sales Volume	Avg Sale Price	Average Original List Price	Sales Price to Final List Price	Average Total Days on the Market
21	43	$              8,645,504	$             201,058	$             221,666	94.7%	120.8
23	47	$           11,501,906	$             244,721	$             268,637	97.0%	155.4
24	1	$                 190,000	$             190,000	$             210,000	95.2%	25
52	23	$              3,867,405	$             168,148	$             182,914	95.0%	120.4
TOTALS	114	$           24,204,815

Condos & Townhomes:

Area	# of Sales	Total Sales Volume	Avg Sale Price	Average Original List Price	Sales Price to Final List Price	Average Total Days on the Market
21	43	$              8,645,504	$             201,058	$             221,666	94.7%	120.8
23	47	$           11,501,906	$             244,721	$             268,637	97.0%	155.4
24	1	$                 190,000	$             190,000	$             210,000	95.2%	25
52	23	$              3,867,405	$             168,148	$             182,914	95.0%	120.4
TOTALS	114	$           24,204,815

 

Key to the Areas is here.   March 2009 numbers are here and February 2009 numbers are here.

 Here are the national housing indicators for the April:

Existing-Home Sales          4.68 million units*

Existing-Home Median Price        $170,200

Housing Starts      458,000*

New Home Sales         352,000 units*

*seasonally adjusted annual rate

market stats

February 2009: The Numbers

FMLS stats for the month of  February 2009

Condos/Townhomes:

Area	# of Sales	Total Sales Volume	Avg Sale Price	Average Original List Price	Sales Price to Final List Price	Average Total Days on the Market*
21	33	$         7,968,790	$        241,477	$        292,145	91.90%	148.5
23	26	$         5,381,980	$        206,996	$        232,762	93.70%	144.5
24	5	$         1,270,000	$        254,000	$        297,634	96.80%	111.6
TOTALS	64	$       14,620,770

Single Family Homes

Area	# of Sales	Total Sales Volume	Avg Sale Price	Average Original List Price	Sales Price to Final List Price	Average Total Days on the Market*
21	20	$11,614,500	$        580,725	$        659,175	93.3%	151.7
23	18	$9,411,900	$        522,883	$        570,477	94.7%	131
24	27	$5,068,041	$        187,705	$        211,952	94.0%	110.5
TOTALS	65	$26,094,441

 Click here for FMLS Area descriptions

In both the condo/townhome & home markets - there is still  a large difference in the average original list price for the area and the average sale price.   Listings continue to be priced higher than the market.    Requiring sellers to reduce their list price during the course of  marketing and then still negotiating on price to sell.